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CE59700_HW5


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Created: Apr 28, 2020 at 12:07 a.m.
Last updated: Apr 28, 2020 at 12:24 a.m. (Metadata update)
Published date: Apr 28, 2020 at 12:24 a.m.
DOI: 10.4211/hs.203aa39e82b9423684e754a001530b71
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Sharing Status: Published
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Abstract

This Resource is created for Homework 5 of CE 59700, course held at 2020 Spring semester in Purdue University. The goal of this homework is to forecast streamflow series by a first order exponential model. USGS gage 03335500, Wabash River at Lafayette, is the target gagee in this homework. Our streamflow forecasting model is built by object-oriented programming skill. The error of prediction is reported with respect to different parameter of model. The further optimization process would be taken in the following class of CE 59700.

Task of HW5 is to split your streamflow dataset into training set and validation set. The prediction made by your model is compared to the validation set split in the beginning. This procedure is known as the training process, which is popular in optimization problem. Create a function to report the mean square error of your model. Fit your model with training set and change alpha value manually. Find the best model which returns the minimum MSE value. Turn in the alpha value and the MSE value you get.

Subject Keywords

Coverage

Spatial

Coordinate System/Geographic Projection:
WGS 84 EPSG:4326
Coordinate Units:
Decimal degrees
Place/Area Name:
Wabash River at Lafayette
Longitude
-86.8900°
Latitude
40.4200°

Temporal

Start Date:
End Date:

Content

Additional Metadata

Name Value
Streamflow cfs
Loss Function Mean Square Error (MSE)
Prediction horizon 10 days
Streamflow forecasting model First Order Exponential Model

How to Cite

Li, P. (2020). CE59700_HW5, HydroShare, https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.203aa39e82b9423684e754a001530b71

This resource is shared under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY.

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
CC-BY

Comments

Pin-Ching Li 4 years, 6 months ago

This is

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Pin-Ching Li 4 years, 6 months ago

This is one of the homeworks in CE59700 at 2020 Spring semester in Purdue University.

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