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| Created: | Jul 02, 2026 at 8:31 p.m. (UTC) | |
| Last updated: | Sep 07, 2026 at 5:38 p.m. (UTC) | |
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| Sharing Status: | Public |
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Abstract
This repository contains the Monte Carlo simulation ensemble dataset supporting the manuscript "Probabilistic Assessment of Compounding Dam Breach and Flood Hazards in Ungauged, Data-Scarce Watersheds" submitted to the Journal of Hydrology.
The dataset includes Monte Carlo realizations and ensemble hydrographs generated for the Wadi Derna watershed (560 km², northeastern Libya) across three rainfall tiers, produced using the probabilistic flood hazard framework developed in the associated manuscript. The framework propagates uncertainty through the full flood modeling chain, from rainfall–runoff generation through dam breach formation, using HEC-HMS with over 200 uncertain parameters sampled across 10,000 Monte Carlo realizations per rainfall tier.
Contents
Monte Carlo Realizations:
Tier 1 (50–200 mm): 10,000 parameter sets and corresponding model outputs
Tier 2 (200–350 mm): 10,000 parameter sets and corresponding model outputs
Tier 3 (350–500 mm): 10,000 parameter sets and corresponding model outputs
Ensemble Hydrographs:
Discharge hydrograph ensembles downstream of Al-Bilad Dam for each rainfall category
Summary statistics including the 5th, 10th, 50th, 90th, and 95th quantile traces for each category
Associated Publication:
Nemnem, A. M., Kurter, E. C., and Imran, J. (under review). Probabilistic Assessment of Compounding Dam Breach and Flood Hazards in Ungauged Watersheds.
Subject Keywords
Coverage
Spatial
Content
How to Cite
This resource is shared under the Creative Commons Attribution CC BY.
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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