ABSTRACT:

Forested wetlands and wet soils near streams and lakes are often missing from current maps which makes wet areas difficult to manage. Wet soils also have lower bearing capacity making them more susceptible to soil disturbance from heavy forestry machines resulting in sediment and mercury transport to nearby surface waters. Topographical modelling of hydrological features such as topographical wetness index and depth to water has been suggested as a solution to this problem. These methods are easy to implement on large scales but are also static and do not take differences in spatial runoff patterns or soil textures into account. Therefore the aim of this study was to evaluate if machine learning can be used to create more accurate maps of wet soils. We used a machine learning approach where the National Forest Inventory of Sweden was used to train two random forest classifiers. The first model used a number of topographically derived variables along with soil types and runoff data while the second model only used topographically derived variables. The predicted maps were evaluated using Cohen’s kappa index of agreement, out of bag error and visual inspection of the Krycklan catchment. Both the predicted maps had a substantial agreement with the field plots and agreed well with the authors’ first-hand knowledge of the Krycklan catchment. Additionally there was sufficient information in the digital elevation model and including additional factors such as quaternary deposits and runoff only improved the overall accuracy by 1 % and increased kappa by 0.02.